AFC East: Jets Limp to Finish, Mangini Crawls Away

Football Betting Lines

12/30/2008 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Every gambler knows the risks associated with going all-in.

Jets head coach Eric Mangini was well-aware of the message the organization was sending when, in the wake of a 4-12 campaign, the team made a series of moves aimed at getting the club back in the playoff field.

The trade for Brett Favre in August was the most notable, but by no means the only transaction that was supposed to put the Jets on a collision course with the playoff field. The trade for nose tackle Kris Jenkins, signing of pass rusher Calvin Pace and offensive linemen Alan Faneca and Damien Woody, and mid-season acquisition of cornerback Ty Law were other high-profile moves made with obvious intent.

As the season began, NFL observers expected the Jets to be much-improved, at the very least. Then, when Tom Brady went down to a season-ending knee injury in Week 1 and stripped the Patriots of their unquestioned favorite status in the AFC East, Gang Green was supposed to be the club that stepped into the vacuum. When New York ascended into first place with a supposedly telling 34-13 beat-down of the previously unbeaten Tennessee Titans on Nov. 23, the then-8-3 Jets looked like they were making good on all of the lofty predictions.

Then it all came crashing down, and Mangini watched his once-huge pile of chips disappear, one by one.

The Jets would win just one more time the rest of the year, getting an extremely lucky bounce to beat the last-place Bills in Week 15. Included in their 1-4 season-ending stretch were three double-digit losses to teams - the Broncos, 49ers, and Seahawks - that would finish .500 or worse. Sunday's 24-17 home loss to Chad Pennington and the playoff-bound Miami Dolphins sealed the Jets' fate as a third-place, non-playoff team, and Mangini - to the surprise of few - was made the scapegoat.

Owner Woody Johnson and general manager Mike Tannenbaum made the decision, and announced it to the world less than 24 hours after the Miami loss was complete.

"Mike and I felt in our judgment that it was time now to make a change," said Johnson. "This is not a decision that we reached yesterday or 10 minutes ago. This is a decision that was running through the season. Mike and I talk every day. One of the things that we talk about is the performance of the coaches, the team and how we're doing with our fans who we represent. We don't take this decision lightly. We respect Eric for what he's done, but we want to build on the successful foundation that he's laid."

On balance, Mangini's tenure doesn't look all that dreadful, especially when his body of work is compared to predecessors like Rich Kotite (4-28), Pete Carroll (6-10), and Bruce Coslet (26-39). The former Patriots defensive coordinator had two winning seasons in his three years on the job, going 23-26 including a playoff loss to the Patriots in his first season. The team's five- game improvement this year could be used as evidence that things were headed in the right direction under Mangini.

But the final five weeks of the 2008 season fly in the face of that contention, and with teams like the Dolphins (1-15 to 11-5), Falcons (4-12 to 11-5) and Ravens (5-11 to 11-5) displaying more significant, playoff-bound turnarounds, it was management's judgment that this team had underachieved.

All of the epitaphs for Mangini will include early mention of Favre's name. The team's late-season collapse will be forever linked to the 39-year-old legend's dreadful play over the 1-4 finish, when he threw two touchdown passes, nine interceptions, and never posted a passer rating above 61.4.

Given that Favre had posted three straight 100-plus passer ratings prior to the five-game swoon, speculation about whether the quarterback's arm was healthy or not has run rampant. Favre said he would have an MRI on his shoulder this week, and the results of that procedure will likely have much to say about his future with the club. Favre has not committed to returning in 2009, but the Jets seem to be in his corner despite his miserable December play and possible health concerns.

"We, as an organization, want Brett back," said Johnson. "I think that will unfold over the days and weeks from now. We're really focused right now to start a thorough search for a new coach. We'll go on from there for players."

Whether the new head man would want Favre, and vice versa, will be a subject of debate in the coming weeks and months. Early reports linking Bill Cowher and Marty Schottenheimer to the vacancy suggest, that unlike Mangini, the target this time around will be a proven, veteran coach who is unlikely to bow to the whims of a future Hall of Fame quarterback.

"We will, very quickly, start a process to find, as Mike often puts it, 'looking under every rock,' for talent," said Johnson. "That's the talent to lead this team on to the next successful level. This process has started right now. We will be very, very thorough and select somebody that can succeed Eric and build on the good foundation that he and people in management have built."

BILLS: For at least a couple more days, Buffalo head coach Dick Jauron will twist in the wind.

After the Bills concluded their own collapse with a 13-0, wind-aided loss to the Patriots on Sunday - the team's first home shutout defeat since 1983 - team owner Ralph Wilson began to deliberate about the future of Jauron, who has posted identical 7-9 marks in each of his three years on the job.

On Tuesday, Wilson was reportedly to meet with Bills COO Russ Brandon, head of scouting Tom Modrak, and team treasurer Jeff Littmann to discuss Jauron's status.

"I have nothing definitive tonight to give you," Wilson told The Buffalo News on Monday. "We had a meeting [Monday]. We're going to have a meeting [Tuesday] and [Wednesday], and then you'll have your answer."

Jauron reportedly signed a three-year contract extension earlier this season, but following the team's 2-8 finish, one of the main components of Wilson's discussions with team brass will likely center on the cost of buying him out.

The Bills are not an organization with a reputation for throwing money around needlessly, and Wilson might determine that a buyout of Jauron, coupled with the dollars necessary to lure a new head coach with any type of profile to Western New York, might be too steep a price to pay.

The availability of other coaches might also impact Wilson's decision.

The hottest candidates with a track record (Bill Cowher, Brian Billick, and probably even ex-Bills linebacker Marty Schottenheimer) are a pipe dream for Buffalo, and those perceived to be among the brightest coordinators (Steve Spagnuolo, Leslie Frazier, Jim Schwartz, Josh McDaniels, Rex Ryan) are probably going to rate Buffalo low among their would-be suitors.

And, though the number of head jobs turning over was expected to reach double digits, as of Tuesday only three coaches - the Lions' Rod Marinelli, Browns' Romeo Crennel, and Jets' Eric Mangini - had been let go, further reducing the potential candidate pool.

Those factors weigh in Jauron's favor, though the team's dismal finish and Wilson's reputation in regard to coaches do not.

Since Marv Levy departed following the 1997 season, no Buffalo coach has lasted more than three years with the organization.

DOLPHINS: At the midway point of the 2008 season, when the Bills, Jets, and Patriots were tied at 5-3 atop the AFC East, and the Dolphins sat one game back at 4-4, it was hard to imagine that Miami would not only vault all of its competitors into the top spot in the division, but also be the only entry from the contentious East that would make it into the playoff field.

But that's exactly what happened, as the once-2-4 Fins finished off a 9-1 stretch of football with Sunday's 24-17 win at the Jets and advanced to the postseason for the first time since 2001. The division title was Miami's first since 2000, and the Dolphins reached the record books as the first club to go from 1-15 to the playoffs the next year. The team's 10-game improvement matched the best ascent in league annals, tying the 1999 Colts' move from 3-13 to 13-3.

As it turned out, Miami needed every one of its 11 wins to extend its season, as the Patriots, also 11-5, found themselves on the business end of a tiebreaker and missed the playoffs altogether.

Say what you want about the Dolphins and some of their competition (Miami's only win over a playoff team came against the 8-8 Chargers), but it is impossible to argue that a Fins team that went 5-0 on the road during its 9-1 run either backed into the field or failed to earn their spot in the January tournament.

"I honestly think this was a combination of a lot of hard work from a lot of different people," said Tony Sparano, nearly certain to win NFL Coach of the Year honors in his first year on the job. "Bill (Parcells), [GM] Jeff Ireland and all of our administration staff, but more importantly, the players. The off-season programs to make this kind of turnaround...I think the players in that locker room are the ones that made this possible."

Miami's first-round opponent will be Baltimore, also the Dolphins' most recent playoff opponent back in 2001, as the Ravens will travel to Miami to partake in Sunday's early game.

The Ravens were 27-13 winners at Miami in Week 7.

PATRIOTS: Heading into Sunday's game, the New England Patriots needed just a little bit of help in order to make the playoff field. They went begging.

The Patriots controlled what they could, getting to 11-5 with a 13-0 win over Buffalo, then watched doors slam all around them. Their shot at the second AFC Wild Card disappeared when the Ravens put the hammer down against the Jaguars, 27-7, and moments later, the Dolphins' 24-17 victory over the Jets put New England on the business end of the AFC East tiebreaker.

The Pats became the first 11-5 team to miss the playoffs since the 1985 Broncos, and added some more ammunition to the argument of those who think the playoff bracket needs to be expanded.

New England is out of the postseason money for the first time since 2002, when it was on the wrong side of a 9-7 tie-breaker with the Jets for the division (Miami was also 9-7 and out of the field that year). With Sunday's victory, however, the Patriots finished in at least a tie for the AFC East top spot for the eighth consecutive time, dating back to 2001.

"I couldn't be prouder of the team and what it has done in the last four weeks after the Pittsburgh game," said head coach Bill Belichick on Monday. "When you go at something like we have since the end of July - you go from meetings to practice, to watching film, to game planning, to making personnel decisions, to playing a game, to wrapping it up [and] going on to the next game. You are just on that treadmill and it's going pretty fast. It's always - even though it happens every year - kind of sudden when it stops. You still get a little bit of a jolt and I think that is kind of where we are now that the season ended abruptly yesterday. As I said, even though I've been through a lot of them, I don't think you are ever quite ready for it when it happens.

"I think that everybody that participated in this season, in the 11-5 season, has a lot to be proud of. That includes all of the above: the players, the coaches, the organization, the scouts, everybody. We feel good about a lot of the things that we accomplished this year. Unfortunately, it wasn't enough for us to keep playing next week and so we're disappointed with that. But what we did accomplish this year, I think it goes to the hard work of all of those people that are involved. We had some things to deal with. We had four West Coast games. We had some weather games. Our last five games of the year were all played in difficult weather situations. I understand the teams on the other side of the field played in those same situations; I'm not looking for any sympathy there. I'm just saying those are challenges for our team to meet, whether it is rain, wind, snow, or a combination. You can go right down the list. There were a number of things that we dealt with this year and I think that - organizationally, including the operations people setting up the trips on the West Coast, to the players, to the coaches, to our medical staff, to everybody - they worked hard and there were a lot of positive things this year. I wish it could have been a little bit more. I think there are a lot of things that we did that I'm proud of the way we did them."

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Super Bowl 2009 Betting

Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositions

Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.

Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.

Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.

If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.

Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.

By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.

In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.

So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.

While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.

There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.

In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:

SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.

XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.

XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.

Get free 2009 Super Bowl Betting from top rated online sportsbook MySportsbook.com. Mysportsbook.com online Super Bowl betting VISA Mastercard

SPORTS BETTING - Tennis is an underrated and under-utilized bettors' sport.

Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"

A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."

Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.

In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.

"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."

Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.

But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"

Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.

This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.

Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.

In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.

No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.

And that's all any bettor can ask for.

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